Current Standings; Georgia, Missouri, Oregon

Kerry has an 85.7% chance of winning and an expected 293.2 electoral votes. Kerry could win with just Missouri or Florida out of his tossup states. Bush has 50.16% of the two-party popular vote.

Cartogram showing, for each electoral vote, the chances that the leading candidate will win:

Cartogram showing, for each electoral vote, the leading candidate's lead.

Georgia (15) changed from Safe Bush to Extremely Safe Bush, Missouri (11) changed from Probable Kerry to Tossup Kerry, and Oregon (7) changed from Safe Kerry to Very Probable Kerry, all because of new polls. This was the first poll I had for Georgia.

I will be camping in Wisconsin (10, Very Safe Kerry) this weekend, so no updates until Monday or Tuesday.