Current Standings; Ohio

Were the election held today, Kerry would have a 39.3% chance of winning, with 268.0 expected electoral votes. Kerry has a 48.2% chance of winning on Election Day, with 269.2 expected electoral votes.

Cartogram showing, for each electoral vote, the chances that the leading candidate would win if the election were today:

Cartogram showing, for each electoral vote, the chances that the leading candidate will win on Election Day:

Cartogram showing, for each electoral vote, the expected percentage (of Bush/Kerry votes only) for the leading candidate.

Ohio (20) changed from Very Safe Bush to Safe Bush because of a new ARG poll.