News flash: Obama retakes lead (sort of)

I am now projecting that Obama has a 54% chance to win the electoral vote, and a 49.99% chance to win the popular. (He has a slight advantage in the electoral college because the key swing state of CO is slightly more Democratic than the rest of the country.)

Most of the data here has been updated, except for the colored maps.

It looks like this rebound happened between 9/12 and 9/15, that is, over the course of last weekend. I suspect that the emergence of the economy as the key issue over those days helped the Democratic side.