This is a good post that points to an important flaw in sites like mine: "Taking a poll-of-polls is tantamount to saying that you think the 'correct' approximation of voter sentiment is the average of all approximations in use by pollsters. Polls-of-polls tend to ignore methodological differences and blithely hope that everything comes out in the wash." The situation where my method would fail is if the average pollster's methodology skewed the average results towards one candidate.
Back to cutting turf.
posted by Benjamin Schak at 1:29 AM
1 Comments:
Hey Ben! Diane here, from GCI days. Liz told me about your site, and I can't believe I haven't seen it sooner, given my obsession with anything and everything election-related:) But.. I'm in Indiana now (IU for grad school), and observing (and helping out in) an *unbelievable* grassroots effort here. So much more organized, in all the right ways, than we were for Kerry in PA. If there are enough Obama voters here to tip the scales, believe me, we'll get them to the polls. My impression (and granted, I'm in Bloomington) is that Obama has a good chance of winning here, given the Chicago suburbs and the extreme levels of participation among college students state. But I've been known to be a wishful-thinker...
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